Joe
Biden took over as the post-madness President of the United States today. We
must not forget, though, that far more serious than Donald Trump the individual
is the long-developing phenomenon that brought him to power and the legacy that
he is leaving behind.
It
is a fact that the inclusive, altruistic, cooperative, farsighted movement in
human affairs with a pronounced concern for improving the condition of long-disadvantaged
people (from the poor to Blacks, women and the LGBT tribe) started ebbing all
over the world after the 1960s, and was rapidly rolled back ever since the rise
of the Reagan-Thatcher consensus (conservative in social values, free
capitalistic in economic conviction) in the west coupled with the collapse of
the Soviet Union and the sharp turn of China towards a no-holds-barred
materialistic/acquisitive/me-first culture around the same time (India more or
less tamely followed suit, with no strong and separate ideology to guide us:
real thinkers with constructive visions of the stature of Rammohun,Vivekananda, Gandhi and Tagore
had stopped coming into the limelight a long time ago).That rather drastic
shift did pay rich dividends, partly because the formerly mentioned movement
had betrayed too many ideals, leaving behind a whole range of negative reactions
from terror and horror to merely a bad
taste in the mouth, and partly because the opposite effort sharply improved living conditions for
a vast chunk of the human population within about thirty years, along with
making billionaires by the hundreds and millionaires by the hundred thousand – the
latter naturally got a huge stake in the new dispensation to want to do their
utmost to keep it going unchallenged.
However,
from the time that seminal book Globalization
and its discontents was written (and actually much before that, as readers
of J.K. Galbraith and Robert Lekachman know), it started becoming plain to the
most clear-eyed observers of world affairs that all was not well with us. a) The
physical environment was becoming rapidly and dangerously polluted as an
unfortunate but apparently unavoidable spinoff of the kind of high-consumption
lifestyles that more and more people were adopting; b) crime and social
dysfunction proliferated, even at the family level, everywhere in the world as
more and more people insisted that freedom and democracy meant not civilized
negotiation, gradual compromise and quiet living but an aggressive attitude of
grabbing, self-advertizing and thrusting forward in every sphere of life –
every man for himself and the devil take the hindmost began to be taught as
‘wisdom’ in virtually every business school, not just in criminal gangs; c) people
by the hundred million, feeling cheated, rootless, culturally disoriented,
utterly insecure about the future in a scenario of ultra-rapid change (change
which visibly and grossly benefited the already privileged), began to be
attracted more and more to every kind of religious demagoguery that promised
meaning and stability and community and certainty of better things ahead (even
if that meant martyrdom as a terrorist!); and to control all this flux and
chaos, d) more and more it became obvious that authoritarian rulers offering
neo-fascist dispensations and miracle cures were becoming popular all over the
world: they alone were confident of where they were going, they alone knew all
the answers, they alone could lead their country towards a new heaven on earth.
Their shrill, hyper-exaggerated (and plain lying-) messages were intensively,
ceaselessly propagated to their increasingly blind and devoted followers
through the bullhorns of social media, which gave them direct, continuous and
relentless access to tens of millions of people in a way that Orwell would have
marvelled at, and it became the despair of the regular, old-fashioned mass
media which decided to become ever more noisy, trivial and sensationalistic to
stay relevant. It is against this background that the rise of Donald Trump has
to be understood, along with so many other ‘strong men’ all over the world.
It
is one of my pet theories – buttressed by a lifetime of close observation and
reflection – that any kind of excess in social manners and mores invariably
provokes an excessive reaction in the opposite direction. Also, that nobody has
the whole truth, nor does anybody tell the whole truth as s/he knows the truth
all the time. If you accept these two premises, you will agree with me that
democracy, if it is to remain healthy and effective, must always function in
the spirit of tolerant debate, adjustment and compromise, consciously avoiding
all extreme positions, every participant willing to obey the basic rules and to
accept the majority decision taken without threat or coercion – however
unpalatable or unsatisfactory it appears to him or her personally. Now a lot of
people might dislike my saying this, but that does not change the fact that in
the name of change and progress and improvement, far too many people of too
many different persuasions have pushed the limits of civilized discourse too
far for too long. To take a few examples, those who call themselves liberal
democrats in the US and secular liberals in India have, all the while paying
lip service to the ideals of democracy and free speech and tolerance, insisted
that they alone are always right, and all those who disagree with them must be
derided, shouted down, isolated and if possible ostracized, put beyond the
pale. Therefore you are instantly branded racist if you so much as mumble that
a lot of black people do take to drugs and crime too easily, and need to be
dealt with firmly by the law, though never abused; you immediately and forever
become a sexist if you dare to say publicly that women can be bad people too;
you are instantly branded a religious bigot if you point to statistics which
show that members of a certain religious community take to violent terrorism
far more than others; they shut you out completely as a heretic if you suggest
that capitalism (or socialism, depending on which circle you are rubbing
shoulders with) might have a lot of faults; why, they call you a grammar Nazi
if you insist on the importance of correct and polite language! ‘(I have every
right to mangle a language as much as I please’). Notice, those who take most
pride in calling themselves enlightened and civilized created this atmosphere:
‘You only have the right to agree with me: free speech for me/us/what is
politically correct right now, not for anyone else’. How dare you say you don’t
particularly thrill at the idea of homosexual love, when we in our own little
ghetto have decided to worship it?
Top
this off with the increasingly ominous development, hugely exacerbated by
social media (which have become a major phenomenon only in the current
century), that most people neither know
nor respect facts any more. Democracy, or indeed any form of civilized
discourse and decision making, depends crucially upon people basing their
opinions on reason and facts. Now facts have always been difficult to
ascertain, fluid and protean: science in the broadest sense has tried to, and
hugely succeeded in, widening the ambit of facts that we can be more or less
sure of, but, while its success with the natural world has been truly
remarkable (physics, chemistry, even biology), the application of the
scientific method to social affairs has been far less so. Things have not been
improved by the fact that there are
far too many ‘experts’ around on every subject these days muddying the waters,
so that any fool of a bigot can call upon any number of experts to buttress his
opinions, however far-fetched they may be (learn from the pandemic-scare
experience). So there are still endless debates over simply what the facts are:
are women really weaker than men, are Blacks really lazier and stupider and
more criminal minded than whites, are Muslims intrinsically more fanatical and
violent than others, are most Mexicans rapists and drug dealers, did China
spread the virus to terrorize and dominate the rest of the world? And as these
questions have become more and more politicized, so have the debates grown more
heated, more acrimonious. The confusion is worse confounded by the fact that
more and more people base their opinions on social media inputs (which are
known to spread deliberate misinformation with mischievous intent), naively
accepting the most extreme opinions disguised as facts most likely to be true, which
makes for a very volatile, very explosive situation.
Now
consider a third most unhappy development over the last generation: the kind of
‘democratic, egalitarian’ education that has been dished out to hundreds of
millions of young people all over the relatively-free world was designed to
insanely boost everybody’s self-esteem: everyone
was talented, everyone had great potential, everyone could be tycoon, rock star
or president; nobody could be called stupid, lazy, delinquent, undisciplined or
unsocial any more (especially if he has made big money!). Everybody is, or has
to be, a winner, no matter whether that is in a school track race or in a race
for the Nobel Prize (people were encouraged to forget that winners need losers much more than losers need
them: you can’t win something unless one or many others have lost!) Teachers’
criticism was muted by fiat, examination standards lowered and scores raised to
absurd levels for the hoi polloi, at least up to the college level, so that
Everyman could develop a swollen ego, brought up to think that they are all
wonderful creatures and the world exists to serve their pleasure. No one, from
street lumpen to cabinet minister, must say sorry and back down in
acknowledgment of being wrong or unfair; self-assertion is the be all and end
all. Just look around you, and maybe at the mirror, to check out whether I am
right.
Then
think quietly and calmly: what happens if this goes on for too long? All those
who feel left out, cheated, marginalized, humiliated, even many gentle and
reasonable folks among them, begin to yearn for a leader who would articulate their
long-suppressed grievances, who would make the world look simple to negotiate
again, who would restore at least some
old-fashioned values (work hard, take responsibility, don’t abuse the elderly),
greatly raise their self-esteem even if they didn’t deserve it, painlessly
usher in either a return to a mythical, lost golden age (‘Make America great
again’ is the war cry of a man who neither knows nor cares that America looked
greatest in the world’s eyes just after she became the generous rehabilitator
of half the world, having won a world war before that on behalf of tolerance
and democracy!) or a new, crudely imagined heaven (where only upper caste Hindus
prevail, or Bible Belt white Americans).
Donald
Trump, like Hitler, did not appear out of thin air. Alas, we have stopped
reading serious history – that is another great failure of the current era – or
we would have known and recognized the processes by which such ‘leaders’ rise
to power, over and over again. The most successful leaders, those who rise most
meteorically, are the most cunning, most shameless, most callous and most
opportunistic: they are guided solely by the raw will to power, and they know
how best to knit together the angst of all the disparate disgruntled elements
into a tsunami of reaction which will raise them to the throne. And if the
volatile, explosive mix that I mentioned above lasts, Trump will be back again
(remember, 70 million-plus voted for him still, after four disastrous
years!), or someone even worse, because there will be vast numbers
of fanatical idiots eager to raise him to power. Also remember, a lot of people
manage to be content, if not actually happy, even under regimes like the Nazis
and the Bolsheviks – until their nearest and dearest are put on the chopping
block. As in ancient Rome, so in today’s world; as in the US, so in India. It
bears worrying about.
P.S.:
Nishant Kamath’s long comment on my last post on the subject clarifies a lot of
things about how someone like Trump came to power. The book I am reading now,
the latest from Pankaj Mishra (Bland Fanatics), goes some way to explain the phenomenon in greater detail (though of course I do not condone all his views), and also why it is not going to vanish with the departure of
Donald Trump from the White House: the rot is very old, and runs too deep.